Рatterns of the occurrence of fires in cities during marital state
Kovalenko Roman
National University of Civil Defenсe of Ukraine
http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2083-7601
Nazarenko Sergii
National University of Civil Defenсe of Ukraine
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0891-0335
Muhlyk Eduard
National University of Civil Defenсe of Ukraine
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4850-3566
Ostapov Kostiantyn
National University of Civil Defenсe of Ukraine
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1275-741X
DOI: https://doi.org/10.52363/2524-0226-2024-39-13
Keywords: fire, statistical hypothesis, law of distribution, emergency and rescue formation, Pearson's test
Аnnotation
The process of occurrence of fires in Ukrainian cities with a population of more than 500000 people was studied. The subject of the study is statistical patterns that allow us to describe the process of fire occurrence in Ukrainian cities with a population of more than 500000 people. Data on fires that occurred in the period from 2021 to 2023 have been processed. Statistical data for each city and each year were studied separately. Among statistical regularities, normal and discrete laws of distribution were considered, namely: normal, exponential, gamma, lognormal, chi-square, Poisson and geometric. It was expected that the process of the occurrence of fires can be described by the Poisson distribution law, given that many of the previously analyzed works considered this to be the case. It was established that neither before the introduction of martial law nor after its introduction, the process of occurrence of fires in Ukrainian cities with a population of more than 500000 people cannot be described by the Poisson distribution law. Instead, in some cases, this process can be described by an exponential distribution law, which is not entirely clear. In addition, no dependence was found between the calculated values of the standard deviation and the investigated statistical regularities of the occurrence of fires. The study is limited by the fact that it is not possible to compare the obtained results with other similar studies carried out between 2021 and 2023 for other cities around the world. The main drawback of these studies is that the possibility of obtaining statistical data on fires for previous periods in the cities of Ukraine is limited. Accordingly, it does not allow determining which statistical laws of distribution described or did not describe the process of the occurrence of fires in that time period. In the future, it is planned to investigate the possibility of establishing a distribution law for the process of fire occurrence in cities with a population of less than 500000 people.
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Аssessment of excess pressure during accidents at oil refineries
Kalchenko Yaroslav
National University of Civil Defenсe of Ukraine
http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3482-0782
Afanasenko Kostiantyn
National University of Civil Defenсe of Ukraine
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1877-1551
Vavreniuk Sergеi
National University of Civil Defenсe of Ukraine
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6396-9906
Pisklova Daria
National University of Civil Defenсe of Ukraine
https://orcid.org/0009-0004-9521-7006
DOI: https://doi.org/10.52363/2524-0226-2024-39-12
Keywords: excess explosion pressure, oil spill, oil tanks, consequences of accidents
Аnnotation
Аssessed the excess explosion pressure during an accident on oil tanks. In the studies, three cases of accidents were considered: local depressurization of the oil tank, full depressurization of the oil tank without the formation of a breakthrough wave and full depressurization with the formation of a breakthrough wave of the oil. The study was conducted for tanks with a volume of 10.000 m³. The paper considers a mathematical model of the overpressure of the explosion of vapors evaporated from a oil spill in the event of these accidents. According to this mathematical model, graphs of the dependence of excess explosion pressure on the radius were built. From the analysis of these graphs, numerical values of the radii of buildings damage degreewere determined . In case of full depressurization of the oil tank with the formation of a breakthrough wave, the radii of buildings damage degreewill be significantly larger than in the case of full depressurization without the formation of a breakthrough wave, which is due to a significant increase in the area of evaporation of the oil. It is determined that the presence of a serviceable dike can significantly reduce the consequences of accidents that can occur when damaged oil tanks. The radii on which a person will suffer damage of various degrees of complexity from the explosion of oil product vapors during their spill as a result of an accident on oil tanks are determined. It was established that for the case of local and full depressurization of a tank with an oil product without the formation of a breakthrough wave, a person will not receive too severe affections from a shock wave. In this case, for the case of full depressurization of the oil tank with the formation of a breakthrough wave, this distance will be at least 535 meters. The obtained results allow to assess the consequences of accidents on oil tanks and can be used to determine the distances of personnel and their special protective clothing.
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Іncreasing the level of people’s safety during an air alarm
Shakhov Stanislav
National University of Civil Defenсe of Ukraine
http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9161-1696
Vinogradov Stanislav
National University of Civil Defenсe of Ukraine
http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2569-5489
Melnychenko Andrii
National University of Civil Defenсe of Ukraine
http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7229-6926
Saveliev Dmytro
National University of Civil Defenсe of Ukraine
http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4310-0437
Semkiv Valeria
National University of Civil Defenсe of Ukraine
http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1584-4754
DOI: https://doi.org/10.52363/2524-0226-2024-39-10
Keywords: evacuation, shelter, civil defense facilities, air alarm, PathFinder, PyroSim
Аnnotation
The object of the study is the duration of evacuation in the event of an air alarm to shelter on the example of an object with a mass presence of people located in the front-line region. Despite a significant number of studies devoted to evacuation, the majority of them were considered in the event of fires. In accordance with this, recommendations were given to increase the efficiency of evacuation using various methods. However, the issue of the duration of people's movement to shelter during a missile threat following an air warning signal has not yet been considered. A 3-D model of the building located in the front-line region was developed in accordance with spatial planning decisions. The sources of open information on the number of shelling in the region where the object is located were analyzed. As of the end of 2023, 47 cases were registered. The average time of approach of missiles to the city where the object is located is 30–40 seconds. According to this, the criteria for the safe time required to reach the shelter are established. When people are placed on the 1st-6th floors, the duration of evacuation to the shelter is 92,8 s, at a speed of movement of 1.66 m/s. In this case, only 33 %, namely 40 people manage to reach the shelter in 40 seconds. The remaining 67 %, namely 81 people, need another 52,8 seconds to reach a safe moon in case of a missile threat during an air alert. Places of placement of people in the premises of the object with a mass stay of people were optimized and recommendations were given regarding the speed of movement to the shelter. Proper provision of timely evacuation depends on the speed of movement and the location of people on the floors of the building. For this object, the optimal solution, which ensures the preservation of the lives of 95 % of people from the total number, is an immediate response to an alarm signal, a ban on placing people higher than 1 floor, and movement at a speed of at least 8 km/h.
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Тhe heat transfer coefficient of the torch installation under the conditions of free convection
Zimin Sergej
National University of Civil Defenсe of Ukraine
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0514-2238
Afanasenko Kostiantyn
National University of Civil Defenсe of Ukraine
http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1877-1551
DOI: https://doi.org/10.52363/2524-0226-2024-39-11
Keywords: torch systems, torch pipes, temperature, thermal radiation, heat transfer coefficient
Аnnotation
A model is proposed for the study of temperature regimes of flare devices of biogas complexes based on the equation of non-stationary thermal conductivity. Despite the generally extremely complex phenomenon of heat exchange, heat transfer, and heat transfer, during the operation of the flare device such conditions exist that allow relying on relatively simple model descriptions, which can allow an assessment of the degree of danger of thermal radiation during its operation. The calculation scheme of the shielding pipe of the flare device with the calculation parameters was built and considered. Boundary conditions of the first kind on the inner and of the third kind on the outer surface of the casing wall of the flare device pipe are adopted. To build the model, the following assumptions were made: the temperature on the inner wall of the casing is the same and equal to the temperature of the biogas combustion products; the calculation scheme does not take into account thermal conductivity through the production armature of the flare device; in the process of heating, the geometric parameters of the casing wall do not change. It was determined that the heat transfer coefficient when using a flare device for burning biogas can be determined from the expression for determining the criterion of similarity of thermal processes. When calculating the criterion of similarity of thermal processes according to the obtained model, it was found that depending on the temperature of the external environment, its values can vary by 10–24 %. At the same time, the geometric parameters of the flare device have a more significant influence on the specified criteria – up to 65 %. The obtained analytical dependences of the heat transfer coefficient α on the characteristic geometric size, as well as on the air temperature and the temperature of the casing surface, which allows determining the negative thermal impact on the surrounding environment. It is shown that its value can vary up to 1000 % depending on the linear size and temperature of the casing surface.
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Оptimization of the method of assessing the efficiencyof reactive fire protection coatings
Hryhorenko Oleksandr
National University of Civil Defenсe of Ukraine
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4629-1010
Saienko Natalia
National University of Civil Defenсe of Ukraine
http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4873-5316
Zolkina Yevheniia
National University of Civil Defenсe of Ukraine
https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2562-2546
Lypovyi Volodymyr
National University of Civil Defenсe of Ukraine
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1967-0720
DOI: https://doi.org/10.52363/2524-0226-2024-39-9
Keywords: effectiveness of fire protection, method, reactive coating, testing, metal fire protection, building constructions
Аnnotation
A critical analysis of methods for assessing the fire-resistant effectiveness of reactive fire-resistant coatings was carried out. It was established that during research aimed at the development of new formulations of flame retardant compounds, it is expedient to use simplified test methods, which would make it possible to significantly simplify the experiment and reduce the time for processing its results. A method of comparative assessment of fire protection efficiency using an electric oven with an isolated test chamber for heat accumulation as a source of thermal radiation, which allows obtaining a temperature on the reverse side of a metal plate above 950 °C, is proposed. As a criterion of fire protection efficiency, it is proposed to use a comparison of the time of reaching the critical temperature (500 °С) on the outside of metal plates protected by fire protection coatings. The effectiveness of fire protection of a metal plate according to the proposed method was investigated for three samples of reactive type fire retardants: a coating based on epoxy oligomer, ammonium polyphosphate, aluminum hydroxide and intercalated graphite, a coating based on styrene-acrylic industrial production and a known coating based on epoxy oligomer filled with ammonium monophosphate and intercalated graphite. It was established that the effectiveness of metal fire protection with a coating based on epoxy oligomer, ammonium polyphosphate, aluminum hydroxide, and intercalated graphite, estimated by comparing the heating time of the metal plate, is 1.3 times higher than the known analog based on epoxy and 1.6 times higher than reactive fire-resistant coating on a styrene-acrylic basis of industrial production, tested under the same conditions. The application of the proposed optimized method allows to provide a comparative assessment of the efficiency of coatings, using as a criterion the time to reach the critical temperature (500 °C) on the reverse side of the metal plate.
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